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Zimbabwe 2008 – The will of the people or the will power to govern – the Gono Factor
Posted on May 08th 2008
It is now 40 days since Zimbabweans voted and yet the outcome is not what they may have had in mind.
President Mugabe and his team are still in charge and so is Gono.
It is evident that President Mugabe's harmonisation project has gone sour and he now finds himself in a corner of challenged hope that was planned to be Tsvangirai's permanent address.
Through Gono's quasi-fiscal activities, the ruling party had designed a subtle and sophististicated model to steal the election but Zimbabwean voters at least saw through it.
For the first time since independence, ZANU-PF, the ruling party, is challenging the parliamentary results in 53 constituences. Who would have thought that in its petitions, Zanu-PF will, among other issues, contend that MDC-T bribed election officials?
MDC-T is also challenging 52 constituencies.
If Zimbabwe was a normal country this turn of events would be laughable but this is serious business, where even an observer from another planet would agree that the electoral playing field was not level given the use of the state machinery on partisan lines, where it is perfectly conceivable and highly likely that the will of the people may be reversed by a judiciary sufficiently tainted by Gono's opaque activities.
Can any sane person trust the Zimbabwean judiciary? Is the Zimbabwean judiciary still independent and impartial? Who is financing the judges and the judiciary? We all know that the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) has now replaced the executive and legislature and according to Gono, it now reports to one principal, who unfortunately now finds himself an underdog with abundant state resources at his disposal if the run off was to be held.
Gono's appointment represented one of many schemes designed to assist ZANU-PF's electoral chances. To some extent Gono managed to do what Professor Moyo had succeeded to do to the media. He managed to shift the focus from a dysfunctional and failing state to third party non-state actors.
Instead of using physical force, he used subtle methods underpinned by state security agents' support. This was meant to intimidate and whip into line all potential pockets of opposition. Individuals were targeted and assets were seized all in the name of national interest.
With Gono at the helm, ZANU-PF and its President could no longer be blamed for causing the economic meltdown. He had over promised that he would be able to turnaround the economy in as much as he had credited himself for turning around the Commercial Bank of Zimbabwe (CBZ) while forgeting that the so-called CBZ turnaround was a meer mirage.
State resources were channeled to CBZ and used to bolster the financial performance of the bank with Gono appropriating to himself the credit. Anyone who had studied the CBZ experience would have known that Gono at the RBZ would behave no differently.
If anything, the past 28 years of President Mugabe in power has created a new culture in Zimbabwe where the head of state is a victim of gossip and lies to the extent that even now he may have been convinced by his system that it is indeed true that MDC-T stole the elections through bribing.
President Mugabe cannot deny that the land, computers, generators and tractors that were given to potential voters prior to the elections did not constitute bribing. What is different is that the source of funds for President Mugabe's so-called generous donations was the state in which the opposition also has a stake.
The RBZ has been transformed into a partisan election agent and it is evident that the post election Monetary Statement was designed once again to influence the run off elections. While Gono is busy at work using cash as an instrument, the other organs of the state are also at work using physical violence to send the message home that no change is good and believable change.
It is common cause that the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC) is an organ of a state that has been operating in a partisan manner so is the Electoral Court. Having been a victim of Unchena and Makarau's injustice, I am acutely aware of the risks that lie ahead for the MDC parliamentarians whose constituencies have been targeted for reversal by ZANU-PF.
In my case, I have been a beneficiary of legally strange rulings by both Makarau and Uchena to have no confidence that justice can be expected by MDC. In the remote chance that the Electoral Court can rise to the challenge in as much as the ZEC did in the politically motivated recount, I still believe that President Mugabe does not respect the will of the people and will do whatever it takes to remain in power.
At this stage, the legitimacy of an incumbent who lost the first round of elections would be dented and yet there is no evidence that the state machinery has internalised the possibility that President Mugabe's tenure may be limited. This begs the question of what Gono and his fellow securocrats know that we do not know.
In the post election period, there is no evidence that partisanship is on the wane in terms of how the state is conducting its affairs. Gono is still operating as if change is a foreign word in Zimbabwe. Even the parliamentary results would in normal circumstances act as a warning sign to state agents who are bent on subverting the will of the people.
Many have observed that Gono is good barometer of what President Mugabe is thinking. So far, I can say that the warning signs are all over that the game is not over.
It is not entirely inconceivable that Gono may have already sufficiently compromised even the opposition parliamentarians through financial lubrication to the extent that the majority that Tsvangirai may think he has may well be speculative.
It is common cause that Gono financed many of the candidates and to the extent that we know his political allegiance, it is highly likely that a new scenario may be in the works.
Diplomats and non-state actors are all beholden to Gono for foreign exchange transactions at favourable exchange rates. To what extent has Gono poisoned the democratic process and sufficiently compromised the democratic institutional framework to the advantage of his principal is a matter that should concern all.
It is remarkable that the opposition has not asked for SADC to assist in investigating the role of Gono in the pre-election period as well as identifying the beneficiary list of state largasse under his watch. The world knows what the securocrats are doing to innocent people in Zimbabwe but little is known about Gono's works in undermining the will of the people.
It is important that the conversation broadens to locate Gono in a broader framework of the democracy project so that appropriate responses are put in place before the will of the people is once again reversed by a judiciary that historically has been impotent in terms of adjudicating on electoral complaints of the opposition.
It is rational to expect that injustice will be expeditiously handed down in the current electoral disputes and the complection of the parliament may well change before the run off.
Comments
I am a Zimbabwean Industrial Engineer with a SA Quota Work permit. I need to get in touch with Mr Mawere.

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Mutumwa Dziva Mawere (born January 11, 1960 in Bindura, Zimbabwe), is an African business executive, pioneer, financier, banker and entrepreneur best known as the founder and Chairman of Africa Resources Limited ("ARL"). He is known for having built one of the most powerful and influential corporations in Zimbabwe's history

Thank you so much for bringing onto the debate table a very relevant dimension to Zimbabwean politics which has eluded many who are interested in Zimbabwean politics. After the 2002 presidential elections, clever people within ZANU PF realised that the land issue was not going to be a viable political card in the next presidential race. There was also a realisation that the use of violence was not going to deliver. Along came Gono, who then delivered what seemed to be the best political trump card for ZANU PF through his quasi-fiscal activities.
The arrival of Gideon Gono on the political framework widened divisions between two camps within ZANU PF - those that were truely interested in the economic turnaround of the country and those that preferred to buy political power at whatever cost, thus perpetuating the economic chaos to their advantage. The latter prevailed within the ZANU PF political frameowrk, hence the series of RBZ quasi-fiscal handouts that we have become accustomed to from 2004 up to this day. The idea was to camouflage government's policy failures with numerous economic benefits so that the common man (particularly the ruaral folk) would believe that rosy days were coming if ZANU PF remained in power.
Unfortunately, ZANU PF missed three very important dynamics at play in Zimbabwe. These are:
(1) The negative impact of Gono's quasi-fiscal activities on economic stability via high
inflation,which far outweighed whatever benefits derived from the RBZ handouts;
(2) The increased convergence of political opinion between the rural and urban population. This largely stermed from the fact that the rural folk depends on those in urban and peri-urban areas for financial support. Therefore, as things got tougher and tougher due to the high cost of living, the support going to the rural folk diminished and their backers told them that they had to change their political stance if they had any hope of improving their fortunes. They listened!
(3) Lastly, ZANU PF did not think through the effect of intensified price controls on product availability and, therefore, prices. Operation Dzikisa Mitengo was a big blow to ZANU PF as it severely affected both the urban and rural population. ZANU PF could not afford to watch as prices played harvoc on the electorate, both urban and rural. But in its endeavour to come up with a solution, it ignored the basic principles of supply & demand and economic return (on the part of those in business).
These are the three dynamics that worked against ZANU PF in the March 29 elections, and will still work against Mugabe in a presidential election run-off. The convergence of political opinion between the urban and rural folk is an issue that greatly concerns ZANU PF and for which they do not have a strategy to deal with. The current campaign of violence in rural areas by ZANU PF is likely to work against Mugabe, because now they are provoking a people already traumatised by unbearable economic hardships.
Back to the Gono factor, the role that Gono is playing in subverting the will of the Zimbabwean people and in sustaining ZANU PF at the expense of the maginalised electorate is well documented, and rest assured history is going to judge him. And so will history judge the current judiciary team, police and army chiefs.
Zimbabweans see through ZANU PF's political strategies via the Gono angle, and I can assure you no amount of handouts is going to change the widely accepted fact that Mugabe and his inner circles in the army, policy and Gono represent an obstacle against the aspirations and hopes of the Zimbabwean people.